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Tesla shares soar even more in price after analysts’ optimistic forecasts
03.12.2021 [17:59],
Gennady Detinich

Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney sent customers a buy recommendation note today that changed the target price of one Tesla share from $ 455 to $ 780. This blew up the market, and Tesla shares jumped 4% or more in price even before the start of trading (to $ 568.82 at the time of writing). What is the optimism of Goldman Sachs analysts based on??

“We believe that the transition to the adoption of battery cars (electric vehicles) is accelerating and will happen faster than we previously thought. We believe battery prices are falling faster than we previously anticipated, which improves the economic performance of EV ownership, and there has recently been an increase in regulatory proposals in some jurisdictions to restrict or completely ban sales of new internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles for 10– 20 years. As a result, together with our colleagues around the world, we are raising our forecast for EV adoption and now expect EVs to account for 18% of global sales in 2030 and 29% in 2035 (with 50% adoption in 2035 as in the US and in Western Europe) “, – noted in the note of the analyst.

The dynamics of the value of Tesla shares at the time of publication of the note. Image source: markets.businessinsider.com

According to a Goldman Sachs expert, even with an accelerated market transition to electric vehicles, Tesla will be able to retain at least 20% of its share in this global market, which will eventually translate into annual sales of 20 million electric vehicles. So, with a stable market share of 20%, Tesla will be able to produce 15 million electric vehicles in 2040. If a more optimistic scenario develops in relation to cars on new energy, as analysts hope, then by 2040 Tesla will produce 20 million cars annually.

The transition to electric vehicles seems to be the right course in many ways, but looking at the surrounding reality, Goldman Sachs’ optimism is hard to believe.

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